With Virgina's COVID-19 caseload soaring to new highs and hospitalizations nearing their spring peak, Gov. Ralph Northam has scheduled an update on the state's response Wednesday afternoon.

The Virginia Department of Health reported 2,071 new positive cases on Wednesday, the third consecutive day with more than 2,000 cases and increasing the state's seven-day average to a new high of 1,761. The average is up 15% in the past week and 35% in the past two weeks. 

Meanwhile, hospitalizations statewide for treatment of COVID-19 are at their highest level since May 30 at 1,469 patients.  That's an increase of nearly 300 patients in the past eight days.  Of the total, 318 are being treated in intensive care units around the state, the most since June 14. 

After indicating on Nov. 10 he didn't see a need to reimpose restrictions, Northam on Friday afternoon announced tighter restrictions statewide on gatherings and alcohol sales.   A group of teachers unions from Northern Virginia on Monday asked him to order schools to return to remote-only learning.  It was not clear what additional steps, if any, Northam would announce Wednesday afternoon. 

In Northern Virginia, an additional 595 cases were reported Wednesday, raising the region's seven-day average to 490.1, its highest level since June 1. The average peaked at 685.3 on May 31. 

The statewide average test positivity rate actually declined slightly on Wednesday to 7.1%, but rates continue to increase across Northern Virginia. The Prince William health district's rate is now above 10%. 

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (Nov. 18, 2020)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23 3.2% / Oct. 18 6.1% Up
Arlington 42.8% / April 20 2.4% / June 26 7.1% Up
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22 3.3% / Oct. 16 8.1% Up
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28 4.0% / Sept. 30 & Oct. 3 8.7% Up
Prince William 36.7% / April 18 5.4% / Oct. 20 10.8% Up
Rappahannock 17.2% / May 8 3.5% / July 3 9.1% Up
Statewide 20.6% / April 22 4.5% / Sept. 30, Oct. 1,2,12 & 13 7.1% Down

The health department reported 25 new deaths related to COVID-19 statewide Wednesday.   Northern Virginia had one net new death, with one fewer death being reported in Arlington County, but one additional death reported in both Fairfax and Prince William counties.

Northern Virginia data by locality (Nov. 18, 2020)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Alexandria 4,768 344 76
Arlington 5,512 563 156
Fairfax 27,270 2,432 611
Fairfax City 190 16 8
Falls Church 85 14 7
Loudoun 9,020 527 136
Manassas 2,171 134 28
Manassas Park 686 59 8
Prince William 16,283 1,059 230
Totals 65,985 5,148 1,260
OTHER AREA JURISDICTIONS
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 640 55 6
Spotsylvania 2,807 171 56
Stafford 2,851 182 22
Fauquier 1,295 63 27
Culpeper 1,838 105 19

LATEST COVID-19 DATA

New Cases/Deaths

  • Northern Virginia: 595 new cases, 1 new death.

  • Statewide: 2,071 new cases, 25 new deaths.

  • Statewide Testing: 20,273 diagnostic test results reported     

Overall Total

  • Northern Virginia: 65,985 cases, 1,260 deaths  

  • Statewide: 208,833 cases, 3,860 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 2.98 million diagnostic tests (3.23 million when including antibody tests)  

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 11 

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.


Statewide Hospital and Nursing Home Data

  • Hospitalizations: 1,469 (up from 1,392 the previous day)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 1,625 reached May 8

  • Patients in ICU: 318 (up from 272 the previous day)
  • Patients Discharged: 22,594 total

  • Nursing Home Patients: 1,106 (up from 1,061 the previous day and highest since data first reported June 23) 

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard

See more headlines at InsideNoVa.com. Email tips to info@insidenova.com.

(14) comments

covid2021

Dog owners 78% higher risk of COVID. What is our leader going to do about this? I wouldn't mind not stepping in dog poo left in my yard. I call for a ban on dog walking until this is fixed. Obama used to eat dog meat so maybe that is something the dems should mandate.

Iwouldntgiveabean

Stop signs are merely a suggestion. Drivers can ignore safety mandates because their feelings are hurt by stopping to ensure others do not get into a wreck.

Trump eats steak well-done, slathered with ketchup.

covid2021

These are the cries of the carrots. Let the rabbits wear glasses.

Stoptheinsanity

Stop signs are the law moron

Iwouldntgiveabean

Hey moron. Following the governors public health edicts are the law. I was illustrating a point.

This provides a state-by-state outline:

https://www.ncsl.org/research/health/state-quarantine-and-isolation-statutes.aspx

For Virginia specifically:

Authority. The Board of Health may promulgate regulations and orders to meet any emergency or to prevent a potential emergency caused by a disease dangerous to public health or any communicable disease of public health threat involved in an order of quarantine or isolation pursuant to § 32.1-48.05 et seq. The state health commissioner shall have the authority to require quarantine, isolation, immunization, decontamination or treatment of any individual or group of individuals when he determines any such measure to be necessary to control the spread of any disease of public health importance and the authority to issue orders of isolation.

Additionally, here is the federal and state quarantine and isolation authority guidance:

https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL33201.pdf

Stoptheinsanity

Get a life bro

Iwouldntgiveabean

Provide some kinda argument instead of [ninja][batman][pirate][alien] crap you have been giving us.

I present the law as it is written. Do your due diligence before you comment.

Stoptheinsanity

If I didn't have you I don't know what I would do [love]

Iwouldntgiveabean

Have a safe holiday.

PWC resident since '69

Gov Blackface mandate masks in house, abort babies so they don’t get covid, eat six feet apart! Or be like Blackface and go to OBX

Toby Beaman

I would like to see six metrics that the InsideNoVa articles REPEATEDLY omit. (See below for an example.) When looking at statistical probability, the numbers are quite astounding – but not in the way you may think.

Simply comparing positive test rates to the number of tests administered can be misleading because it does not account for the entire population, nor does it account for severity. If we are truly concerned about (a) overwhelming the hospitals, and (b) death rates among the population, we need to look at a different set of metrics.

When compared against new COVID-19 cases, we see that new hospitalizations are miniscule, and ICU usage is low-to-moderate. Further, when compared with the *total population* of Virginia, current COVID-19 hospitalization rates for all people in the state and current COVID-19 death rates for all people in the state are both statistically Zero. In other words, all things being equal (not accounting for age or pre-existing health issues), currently (Nov 18, 2020) the chance of you, personally, catching COVID-19 to the degree that you need to be hospitalized is barely above 0%, and your chance of dying from it, of course, is almost non-existent.

(I would be happy to share my sources that were outside of this article with anyone who would like to check my math. Also, to reiterate, this does not account for age and underlying health problems, both of which the authorities have been unexplainably reticent to share.)

Assuming a total state population of 8.65M, here are the kind of metrics that InsideNoVa should be reporting (accurate as of Nov 18, 2020):

[1] 7-Day avg. Hospitalizations per Positive Case = 1.9%

(29.14 / 1544.7)

(Avg. new Hospitalizations = 204 new over past 7 days = 204 / 7; Avg. positive cases =10,806 over past 7 days = 10,806 / 7)

[2] 7-day avg. Deaths per Positive Case = 0.8%

(13.4 / 1544.7)

(Avg. Deaths = 94 new over past 7 days = 94 / 7)

[3] Current ICU capacity usage by COVID-19 patients = 15.8%

(318/2007)

[4] Current COVID-19 Hospitalizations per Total Population = 0.01%

(1469 / 8,650,000)

[5] TOTAL Year-to-Date COVID-19 death rate among Total Population = 0.04%

(3860 / 8,650,000)

[6] Current Weekly (7-day total) COVID-19 death rate among Total Population = 0.0011

(statistically 0% when rounding either to nearest hundredth or thousandth)

(94 / 8,650,000)

Reporting these numbers would provide for a more complete and accurate picture of the situation.

CeeHowUR

Even better, how many people, regardless of whether they are hospitalized, suffer long term effect such as heart disease and organ damage? Or how many people that test positive lie about their activities, contacts and protection taken to avoid getting the virus?

Toby Beaman

Or, for that matter, how about the rise in other ailments such as TB and cancer as a result of these draconian measures? So, yes, the reporting could certainly stand to be far more complete and transparent.

Iwouldntgiveabean

Are you implying that these "draconian measures" are directly linked to Tuberculosis and Cancer?

I would very much be interested in your proof.

Welcome to the discussion.

Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language.
PLEASE TURN OFF YOUR CAPS LOCK.
Don't Threaten. Threats of harming another person will not be tolerated.
Be Truthful. Don't knowingly lie about anyone or anything.
Be Nice. No racism, sexism or any sort of -ism that is degrading to another person.
Be Proactive. Use the 'Report' link on each comment to let us know of abusive posts.
Share with Us. We'd love to hear eyewitness accounts, the history behind an article.