New COVID-19 cases in Virginia are at their highest level in a month, while Northern Virginia's cases have ticked up this week as well, according to new data from the Virginia Department of Health.

However, the Virginia Mercury reported Friday that since late December, virtually all of Virginia’s new COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths have been among residents who are unvaccinated or only partly vaccinated.

Health officials have attribute the recent rise in cases -- both in Virginia and elsewhere -- to a significant slowdown in vaccinations and the spread of the Delta variant, which is more contagious that earlier strains of the COVID-19 virus. 

The state began tracking the Delta variant (B.1.617.2) in mid-June and has reported 88 cases through Friday, including 23 in the Northern region. Not all positive samples are tested for variants, so the actual number of cases is higher. 

Meanwhile, the pace of vaccinations statewide has slowed to about 11,000 a day, according to the state's vaccination dashboard.   That's the slowest pace since early January, just weeks after the vaccines began to be administered. 

Over 9.1 million vaccine doses have been administered to Virginians, with 62.8% of the adult population and 51.7% of the total population now fully vaccinated.

Statewide, new reported cases have increased about 45% in the past two weeks and now stand at an average of 200.4 per day, the highest since June 9.  They are still at the lowest levels since the early weeks of the pandemic, however, and about 60% less than the caseload in July 2020, when the average was over 500 cases a day.

Northern Virginia, which has a higher percentage of vaccinated residents generally, continues to fare better, with a seven-day average of 32 cases a day, up about 10% from two weeks earlier.  The region's number fell as low as 16.9 a day on June 15 before beginning to tick up a bit.  The region reported over 50 new cases both Thursday and Friday, the first time that's happened since May 26 and 27. 

Hospitalizations for treatment of the virus hit a new low of 195 as of Monday, according to the Virginia Hospital & Healthcare Association, which has been providing the data since early April 2020.  They stood at 257 as of Friday. In Northern Virginia, a low of 32 patients were being treated in hospitals as of Monday, although it was back up to 52 on Friday. The region's hospitalizations peaked at 818 on April 30, 2020.

The number of deaths statewide from COVID-19 has continued to decline, with just 25 reported this week. That's the lowest number since the week ended March 26, 2020, although deaths tend to be a lagging indicator and can often take several weeks to verify and report.  In Northern Virginia, only three new deaths were reported this week, all in Fairfax County, which has the most deaths in the state at 1,119. 

Northern Virginia data by locality (July 9, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Alexandria 11,916 572 140
Arlington 15,329 867 258
Fairfax 77,256 4,072 1,119
Fairfax City 576 50 20
Falls Church 429 21 8
Loudoun 28,121 1,090 283
Manassas 4,315 176 48
Manassas Park 1,223 69 11
Prince William 45,875 1,680 508
Totals 185,040 8,597 2,395
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 2,157 104 25
Spotsylvania 10,242 328 125
Stafford 11,561 384 83
Fauquier 4,808 200 69
Culpeper 4,740 185 67

Meanwhile, the average positivity rate of diagnostic COVID-19 tests continues to increase statewide - as would be expected with the increase in cases - and rates in Northern Virginia also gone up slightly. 

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (July 9, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23, 2020 0.8% / July 3 1.4% Up
Arlington 42.8% / April 20, 2020 0.3% / June 22 0.6% Stable
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22, 2020 0.7% / July 1 & 2 0.8% Stable
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28, 2020 0.5% / June 20, 21, 22, 23 0.8% Stable
Prince William 36.7% / April 18, 2020 1.1% / June 20 1.9% Up
Rappahannock 19.2% / Jan. 7 1.3% / June 20 2.4% Stable
Statewide 20.6% / April 22, 2020 1.3% / June 25 2.0% Up

The state is still reporting the results of over 50,000 diagnostic tests per week, although that's down from over 200,000 a week during the height of the pandemic in late December and January. 


New Cases/Deaths (Seven days ending Friday, July 9)

  • Northern Virginia: 224 new cases (up from 205 prior week); 3 new deaths (down from 8 prior week)  

  • Statewide: 1,402 new cases (up from 1,272 prior week), 25 new deaths (down from 34 prior week)

  • Statewide Testing: 52,922 PCR diagnostic test results (down from 59,029 prior week)     

Overall Totals

  • Northern Virginia: 185,040 cases, 2,395 deaths  

  • Statewide: 682,147 cases, 11,448 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 7.77 million PCR diagnostic tests (10.32 million when including antibody and antigen tests)  

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 76 (including 14 in Fairfax, 10 in Prince William, two in Loudoun and Alexandria and one in Arlington). 

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.

Statewide Hospital and Nursing Home Data

  • Hospitalizations: 257 (up from 247 on July 2)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 3,209 reached Jan. 13

  • Patients in ICU: 63 (up from 61 on July 2) 

  • Patients Discharged: 57,355 (121 this week)

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard.

Editor's note: InsideNoVa is providing regular COVID-19 updates every Friday.   For daily reports, visit the Virginia Department of Health COVID-19 dashboard



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(15) comments

Paul Benedict

Meanwhile, whille 25 people died from COVID-19 last week in Virginia, about 280 people died from cancer in Virginia during the same week. The chances of dying from COVID-19, whether vaccinated or not, are very low. There are more important health issues to worry about.

Peter Streng

That’s 25 people who didn’t need to die. That’s 25 families saddled with the burden of the untimely death of a loved one. That’s tens of thousands, perhaps hundreds of thousands, of unnecessary medical costs. That’s scores of man hours of productivity lost. And all it would have taken is a couple of shots to prevent it.

Paul Benedict

Your logic is not functioning at full power. With your kind of thinking you should never leave the house. You might get struck by lightning or run over by a bus.

Peter Streng

I got vaccinated for myself, my family, my friends, and even fools like you.

John Dutko


Do you run out into an open field during a lightning storm? Do you look both ways before crossing the street? Are there preventative measures and laws that society has put into place to maximize safety?

Just stop trolling.

Tom Manson

A simple shot may have prevented these deaths. If they had a vaccine for cancer, I would take that too, but it unfortunately doesn't work that way.

My daughter can't be vaccinated as she is under 12, and whether the chances are low or not, her risk is greatly increased by people like you, that refuse the vaccine. It is irresponsible to not only refuse the vaccine, but to spread lies that help convince others not to take it.

Paul Benedict

Your daughter has a better chance of getting killed in an automobile accident than dying of COVID-19. If your daughter has underlying conditions that increase her risk, such as being super fat or having diabetes, you should see if your doctor can request a waiver for the restrictions on the vaccine. Drive carefully.

Peter Streng

About 39k people died in automobile accidents last year — a fraction of those who died of Covid. You are an ignorant fool.

Paul Benedict

To the gentleman who thinks COVID-19 is still a bigger threat than auto accidents for children, do some research. According to the CDC, auto accidents are still the major cause of death for children under 18. COVID-19 is not even close to be a major cause of death for children. For older people it is a different story, but the commenter was worried about his daughter under 12.

Todd Jones

If you subtract out those that died in gang shootings, auto accidents, from cancer, etc. that tested positive and were called COVID-19 deaths, what number are you left with? It is almost impossible to wade through all the manipulated data to find a true number.

Duke Nukem

It's OK. Our feminist overlords just want little boys to have bigger hearts so it should be OK for your daughter. Now about your daughter what are you doing to offset this carbon footprint you have forced on mother earth?

John Dutko

Paul is right.

He is always right.

Let the unvaccinated die and/or become swamped in medical bills.

There is no point in arguing over the 95% efficacy rate of the Pfizer or Moderna shots that have been proven OUTSIDE OF A LABORATORY ENVIRONMENT.

The people who made the smart decision to protect themselves have already gotten the shot.

Everyone else can chug essential oils and pray to their respective gods for a miracle.

Paul Benedict

The unvaccinated won't become swamped in medical bills. Obamacare will save them. You do realize that the vast majority of people who come down with COVID-19 do not require hospitalization don't you? Perhaps not. You do not appear to be very well informed. Perhaps you are just misinformed. Here you go:

John Dutko

The average cost without insurance is $73,300. With insurance it is roughly $30,000.

Or people can get a free shot as a cost-saving measure.

Maybe you should read the CDC information yourself and see what recommendations they make to combat the viral spread. Most likely it involves inoculation.

Nancy Hemenway

Yes, thankfully the rate is so low because many people in our area are educated, believe in science, and are interested in protecting not only their health but those living and working around them. Compairing this to cancer is a false narrative, that is a story that you perceive as being true (or relative) but has little basis in reality.

The logic is prevention when possible. There is no vaccine for cancer and btw cancer is not contagious!

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