COVID Transmission extent in Virginia 10.20.20

Northern Virginia has moved into the moderate range of community transmission of the coronavirus, according to data released Monday.

Community transmission of coronavirus in Northern Virginia has moved back into the moderate range for the first time since mid-August, according to new data from the Virginia Department of Health. 

The region had been at a minimal level of community transmission since Sept. 1, but increased case numbers in the past few weeks have caused that level to rise, according to the updated data released Monday, which is based on case reports through Saturday. The northwest and eastern regions of Virginia are also at moderate levels of community transition of the virus, while the southwestern regions are approaching substantial levels of transmission and the central region is experiencing substantial levels of transmission.  

On Tuesday, the health department reported 193 new cases of COVID-19 in Northern Virginia. That was the second straight day with fewer than 200 new cases, and the region's seven-day average fell to 223.3.

Statewide, 926 new cases were reported Tuesday, lowering the state's seven-day average to 992.7.

The state's average diagnostic test positivity rate fell to 4.8% after two days at the key threshold of 5%. Before that, it had been below 5% for 22 successive days, falling as low as 4.5% on several occasions.  The Prince William health district also hit a new low average of 5.4%.  The district's rate has been as high as 36.7% on April 18. 

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (Oct. 20, 2020)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23 3.2% / Oct. 18 3.9% Up
Arlington 42.8% / April 20 2.4% / June 26 3.5% Stable
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22 3.3% / Oct. 16 3.5% Stable
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28 4.0% / Sept. 30 & Oct. 3 5.1% Down
Prince William 36.7% / April 18 5.4% / Oct. 20 5.4% Down
Rappahannock 17.2% / May 8 3.5% / July 3 5.3% Up
Statewide 20.6% / April 22 4.5% / Sept. 30, Oct. 1,2,12 & 13 4.8% Down

 The health department reported 28 new deaths related to COVID-19 statewide Tuesday. Five of those were in Northern Virginia: three in Prince William County, one in Manassas and one in Loudoun County. 

Northern Virginia data by locality (Oct. 20, 2020)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Alexandria 4,133 324 75
Arlington 4,399 520 152
Fairfax 22,769 2,213 602
Fairfax City 155 13 8
Falls Church 75 13 7
Loudoun 7,599 470 130
Manassas 2,013 132 27
Manassas Park 632 57 8
Prince William 13,674 977 221
Totals 55,449 4,719 1,230
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 573 51 5
Spotsylvania 2,343 150 47
Stafford 2,279 168 19
Fauquier 1,049 52 26
Culpeper 1,321 96 18


New Cases/Deaths

  • Northern Virginia: 193 new cases, 5 new deaths.  

  • Statewide: 926 new cases, 28 new deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 13,829 diagnostic test results reported    

Overall Total

  • Northern Virginia: 55,449 cases, 1,230 deaths.

  • Statewide: 167,754 cases, 3,485 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 2.41 million diagnostic tests (2.6 million when including antibody tests)

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 10 

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.

Statewide Hospital and Nursing Home Data

  • Hospitalizations: 937 (down from 972 the previous day)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 1,625 reached May 8

  • Patients in ICU: 194 (down from 210 the previous day)
  • Patients Discharged: 19,170 total

  • Nursing Home Patients: 644 (down from 653 on Saturday; no report on Sundays or Mondays) 

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard.

See more headlines at Email tips to

(2) comments

PWC resident since '69

The mask mandate should go! Especially since most people are so dirty they don’t even wash their cloth masks


Did ya hear about how Trump knew that the spikes would happen?

“Trump's contempt for science and refusal to lead during this crisis have allowed the coronavirus to surge."

President Donald Trump has known for over a month that new coronavirus infections have been soaring even as the White House has lied about the seriousness of the surge, documents released Tuesday by a leading Democratic lawmaker show.

And that is for September.

But as for the mask stuff, you should own snd use more than one. Every time you go out of the house to venture among people, put a new one on. I thought that was a given. Do people not practice basic sanitary procedures? Do they need to be told to wipe their butt?

Welcome to the discussion.

Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language.
Don't Threaten. Threats of harming another person will not be tolerated.
Be Truthful. Don't knowingly lie about anyone or anything.
Be Nice. No racism, sexism or any sort of -ism that is degrading to another person.
Be Proactive. Use the 'Report' link on each comment to let us know of abusive posts.
Share with Us. We'd love to hear eyewitness accounts, the history behind an article.