Northern Virginia has passed a landmark in its fight against COVID-19 as the average number of daily cases and hospitalizations are both below the levels they were exactly one year ago.

And statewide, a significant decline over the past two weeks has dropped case numbers to their lowest levels since late October. 

The Virginia Department of Health reported only 191 new cases of coronavirus in Northern Virginia on Monday, following just 250 on Saturday and 210 on Sunday.  Monday's number was the fewest in a single day since Oct. 19, and the region's seven-day average of new cases, now 278.9, is at its lowest level since Oct. 30.  

In addition, the region is now averaging fewer cases than a year ago. On April 26, 2020, the region's seven-day average stood at 332 cases as the virus was nearing its first peak in the region.  That day, 657 patients were being treated at Northern Virginia hospitals for COVID-19, while this year, that number is 194, its lowest level since Oct. 5. 

Statewide, the health department reported 719 new cases on Monday, also the fewest since Oct. 19.  The state's seven-day average fell to 1,116.9, the lowest level since Oct. 27.  The average is down almost 27% in the past two weeks. 

Hospitalizations statewide for treatment of the virus have also fallen to their lowest level in over a month, with 974 patients being treated as of Monday morning, according to the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association.  In January there were over 3,200 COVID-19 patients in state hospitals, with nearly 600 in ICUs.

The health department has reported 40 new deaths statewide related to COVID-19 over the past three days.  Of those, two were in Northern Virginia -- one apiece in Arlington and Fairfax counties. 

Northern Virginia data by locality (April 26, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Alexandria 11,585 551 133
Arlington 15,007 827 252
Fairfax 75,417 3,873 1,068
Fairfax City 540 47 19
Falls Church 419 20 8
Loudoun 27,104 1,021 274
Manassas 4,298 169 47
Manassas Park 1,197 68 12
Prince William 44,348 1,598 479
Totals 179,915 8,174 2,292
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 2,044 99 22
Spotsylvania 9,572 303 113
Stafford 10,958 350 74
Fauquier 4,583 192 63
Culpeper 4,509 185 61

As cases have fallen over the past two weeks, so has the percentage of positive diagnostic test results, both statewide and in the region.  The Fairfax health district's average positivity rate has now fallen below 5%, a level at which experts believe the spread of the virus is under control. 

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (April 26, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23 3.2% / Oct. 18 & March 16 4.0% Down
Arlington 42.8% / April 20 2.4% / June 26 3.0% Down
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22 3.3% / Oct. 16 4.5% Down
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28 4.0% / Sept. 30 & Oct. 3 6.3% Down
Prince William 36.7% / April 18 5.4% / Oct. 20 7.8% Down
Rappahannock 19.2% / Jan. 7 3.5% / July 3 9.1% Down
Statewide 20.6% / April 22 4.5% / Sept. 30, Oct. 1,2,12 & 13 5.4% Down

The state health department also released a new dashboard Friday that tracks variants of COVID-19 detected in the state through advanced testing.  The information shows than 965 cases involving variants have been identified to date, with 240 of them in Northern Virginia.  The most common variant detected so far is B.1.1.7, first seen in the United Kingdom, with 789 cases statewide and 210 in Northern Virginia. 

All the variants are considered to be more contagious, and some may results in more serious cases.  To date, the variants have resulted in 50 hospitalizations and five deaths.   The state only conducts advanced testing on a percentage of positive lab samples, so the actual number of variants may be much higher.  

Meanwhile, the Virginia Department of Health's vaccine dashboard shows that 28.7% of the state's 8.6 million residents are fully vaccinated, and a total of about 3.66 million Virginians, or nearly 43%, have received at least one dose. The percentage of adults who have received at least one dose is higher as vaccines have not been approved for anyone under age 16.

In addition, the health department reports that another 318,000 doses of vaccines have been administered in Virginia by the federal government. These numbers include doses administered by the Federal Bureau of Prisons and the Department of Defense.  

The state is currently averaging about 74,000 doses of vaccines per day.  That number has remained relatively stable since late March, although it is down slightly the past couple of weeks, in part due to the hold on administering the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, which was lifted late Friday.   


New Cases/Deaths (Monday)

  • Northern Virginia: 191 new cases, 2 new deaths.   

  • Statewide: 719 new cases, 15 new deaths.

  • Statewide Testing: 10,104 PCR diagnostic test results.     

Overall Total

  • Northern Virginia: 179,915 cases, 2,292 deaths  

  • Statewide: 654,929 cases, 10,706 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 6.96 million PCR diagnostic tests (9.12 million when including antibody and antigen tests)  

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 58 (including 11 in Fairfax, eight in Prince William, two in Loudoun and one in Alexandria). 

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.

Statewide Hospital and Nursing Home Data

  • Hospitalizations: 974 (down from 1,002 the previous day)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 3,209 reached Jan. 13

  • Patients in ICU: 251 (down from 256 the previous day)

  • Patients Discharged: 54,266

  • Nursing Home Patients: 100 as of Friday (no report Saturday through Monday)

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard.




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(1) comment

Paul Benedict

It is interesting that Prince William County, which has a high rate of COVID cases, has a lower death rate than the state average, and a much lower death rate than nearby Fairfax County, Fairfax City, Arlington, and Falls Church. Kudos to Prince William County, which I normally criticize.

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