Virginia is just a day or two from surpassing President Joe Biden's COVID-19 vaccination goal as coronavirus cases, hospitalizations and deaths continue to fall both statewide and in Northern Virginia. 

As of Friday, 69.6% of all Virginians aged 18 and over have received at least one dose of a vaccine, and 59.5% are fully vaccinated, according to the Virginia Department of Health's vaccine dashboard. Biden's goal is for 70% of adults to have received at least one dose by July 4; at its current pace, Virginia will hit that goal by Monday. Among all Virginians, 57.5% have received at least one dose, and 48.8% are fully vaccinated.   

After reporting no net new COVID cases Monday, Northern Virginia's seven-day average of new cases hit its lowest level since March 24, 2020, on Tuesday at 16.9.  As of Friday, the seven-day average of new cases was 21.1. 

Statewide, the seven-day average of new cases hit its lowest level since March 30, 2020, on Tuesday at 133.7.  As of Friday, the average was at 139.4.

The Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association, which began publicly reporting hospitalization data in early April 2020, said that the number of patients being treated statewide for COVID-19 fell to a record low of 268 as of Friday morning.  That number peaked at over 3,200 in mid-January and was still over 1,000 as recently as late April.

In addition, the number of COVID-19 patients being treated in intensive-care units statewide fell to a record low of 70, and the number on ventilators hit a record low of 37. At the peak of the pandemic, those numbers were over 580 and 360, respectively.

In Northern Virginia, a record low of 73 patients were being treated in hospitals for COVID-19 as of Thursday. The region's hospitalizations peaked at 818 on April 30, 2020.

Deaths related to COVID-19 have also continued to decline, although some deaths being reported now are from earlier in the pandemic. The health department reported 59 new deaths statewide this week, with nine of those in Northern Virginia: four in Prince William County, three in Fairfax County and one apiece in Alexandria and Loudoun County. 

Northern Virginia data by locality (June 18, 2021)

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Alexandria 11,860 566 138
Arlington 15,296 855 257
Fairfax 77,025 4,064 1,108
Fairfax City 568 50 20
Falls Church 430 21 8
Loudoun 28,037 1,086 281
Manassas 4,312 175 47
Manassas Park 1,220 69 11
Prince William 45,657 1,656 505
Totals 184,405 8,542 2,375
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 2,149 104 25
Spotsylvania 10,169 326 125
Stafford 11,470 372 82
Fauquier 4,758 203 69
Culpeper 4,702 199 67

Diagnostic test positivity rates across the region and state hit or tied record lows on Friday and are all below 1.5%. Public health experts generally believe if the rate is below 5% then the spread of the virus is under control. The total number of test results reported to the state health department since the pandemic began -- including antigen and antibody tests -- topped 10 million last weekend. 

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (June 18, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23 1.0% / June 18 1.0% Down
Arlington 42.8% / April 20 0.4% / May 29; June 1, 2, 3, 7 & 18 0.4% Stable
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22 0.9% / June 16, 17 & 18 0.9% Down
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28 0.7% / June 16, 17 & 18 0.7% Down
Prince William 36.7% / April 18 1.4% / June 17 & 18 1.4% Down
Rappahannock 19.2% / Jan. 7 1.5% / June 16 & 18 1.5% Down
Statewide 20.6% / April 22 1.5% / June 18 1.5% Down

Four new small outbreaks at Northern Virginia schools were reported by the state health department on Friday:

  • Nysmith School in Fairfax County, fewer than five cases, reported to the health department May 26
  • Oakcrest School in Fairfax, seven cases, reported June 3.
  • Stenwood Elementary School in Fairfax, fewer than five cases, reported June 1.
  • Liberty Elementary School in Loudoun, fewer than five cases, reported June 4. 

An outbreak is defined as two or more positive cases that can be traced to the same setting.  For privacy reasons, the health department does not release the exact number of cases when there are fewer than five in any one outbreak.

The pace of vaccinations statewide has remained steady since early June and currently averages about 27,700 a day.    


New Cases/Deaths (Seven days ending Friday, June 18)

  • Northern Virginia: 148 new cases (down from 169 prior week); 9 new deaths (up from 7 prior week)  

  • Statewide: 976 new cases (down from 1,230 prior week), 59 new deaths (down from 61 prior week)

  • Statewide Testing: 63,174 PCR diagnostic test results (down from 69,542 prior week)     

Overall Total

  • Northern Virginia: 184,405 cases, 2,375 deaths  

  • Statewide: 678,506 cases, 11,342 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 7.6 million PCR diagnostic tests (10.07 million when including antibody and antigen tests)  

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 75 (including 14 in Fairfax, 10 in Prince William, two in Loudoun and Alexandria and one in Arlington). 

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.

Statewide Hospital and Nursing Home Data

  • Hospitalizations: 268 (down from 367 on June 11 and lowest since data first reported in April 2020)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 3,209 reached Jan. 13

  • Patients in ICU: 70 (down from 101 on June 4 and lowest since data first reported in April 2020)

  • Patients Discharged: 56,991

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard.

Editor's note: InsideNoVa will continue to provide regular COVID-19 updates every Friday.   For daily reports, visit the Virginia Department of Health COVID-19 dashboard

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(1) comment

Tom Manson

21% of the VA population is under 18, and kids under 12 can't get the shot yet. Up to 5% of the population can't get the shot. That means only 10-15% of the population is refusing or just hasn't had time to get it yet. Not too bad.

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