Virginia reported its 800,000th COVID-19 case on Friday, as over 2,000 residents are hospitalized statewide for treatment of the virus for the first time since mid-February, according to new data Friday. 

However, the increase in cases seems to be hitting a plateau both statewide and in Northern Virginia. In addition, the biggest increase in hospitalizations is occurring elsewhere in the state, according to a spokesman for the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association. 

Northern Virginia did report 640 new cases on Friday, the most in the region since March 26. However, the Virginia Department of Health noted that all refugees from Afghanistan arriving at Dulles International Airport are being tested for COVID-19, and those test results -- along with any positive cases -- are being reported as part of Loudoun County's numbers, which would inflate the Northern Virginia numbers as a whole. Through late August, about 14,000 refugees had arrived at Dulles.

Northern Virginia's seven-day average stands at 429.9 as of Friday, toward the higher end of the range it has been in for the past 2 1/2 weeks. That remains the highest level since mid-April but is also below all four other regions of Virginia, which all have fewer residents:

  • Southwest: 916
  • Eastern: 756
  • Northwest: 692
  • Central: 585

The sparsely populated Southwest region saw the biggest jump in new cases this week, reporting 1,468 cases Friday, its highest number ever. 

The state's seven-day average is 3,380 cases a day, up less than 1% from a week earlier but still more than triple the average a year ago - before any vaccine was available. Northern Virginia's new case average is 95% above its level on the same date last year.  

Hospitalizations for treatment of the virus have continued to increase, rising another 13.6% this week to 2,150 patients being treated statewide for COVID-19, as of Friday, according to the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association. Although that is still well below the January peak of over 3,200 patients, hospitalizations had fallen as low as 195 on July 5. The number of hospitalizations is nearly double what it was was on the same date in 2020.

Julian Walker, a spokesman for the association, said the increase in hospitalizations is not nearly as pronounced or sharp in Northern Virginia as it has been in other areas of the state, especially the Central and Eastern regions.   In Southwest Virginia, Ballad Health -- the region's major health-care system -- is also reporting a sharp increase in hospitalizations

Deaths have continued to rise as well, following the summer surge. The health department reported 137 new COVID-related deaths this week, the most since the week ending April 9.  The number of deaths per week was as few as 23 in late July, just as the Delta variant began spreading rapidly.  Throughout the pandemic, deaths have been a trailing indicator, often starting to rise three to four weeks after an increase in cases. 

In Northern Virginia, only six new deaths were reported this week: three in Prince William County, two in Fairfax County and one in Arlington County. 

Northern Virginia data by locality (Sept. 10, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths New cases this week New cases last week
Alexandria 13,105 597 142 187 167
Arlington 17,045 888 261 309 243
Fairfax 84,765 4,204 1,141 1,239 1,202
Fairfax City 612 50 19 8 11
Falls Church 493 21 8 17 17
Loudoun 31,101 1,146 285 460 516
Manassas 4,603 202 49 53 48
Manassas Park 1,249 70 11 1 1
Prince William 50,211 1,845 524 735 732
Totals 203,184 9,023 2,440 3,009 2,937
OTHER AREA JURISDICTIONS
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 2,604 108 25 89 107
Spotsylvania 12,446 388 130 460 458
Stafford 13,915 421 89 413 515
Fauquier 5,904 243 73 173 249
Culpeper 5,519 194 70 167 213

Updated data on selected outbreaks across the state shows two new outbreaks in Northern Virginia, the first that have been reported since the health department began providing the detailed data again in mid-August.   Both were at private schools: Primrose School of Arlington, with six positive cases, reported Aug. 23, and the Goddard School of Woodbridge in Prince William County, with seven positive cases, reported Aug. 30.  

The health department's dashboard showing the number of breakthrough infections show that between Jan. 17 and Sept. 4, 5,750 infections had been reported in fully vaccinated people in Northern Virginia, resulting in 18 deaths.  Statewide, over 20,100 such infections had been reported, a small percentage of the nearly 361,000 overall cases reported in that time. 

The health department says the data show that unvaccinated people are 8.5 times more likely to develop COVID-19 than fully vaccinated individuals and are 9.2 times more likely to die from COVID-19. 

The pace of vaccinations statewide has slowed over the past week to 13,500 a day, according to the state's vaccination dashboard, although that could be due to the Labor Day holiday weekend. Vaccinations were as low as 11,000 a day in early July but had been as high as 86,000 a day in late March. 

As of Thursday, over 10.12 million vaccine doses had been administered to Virginians, with 68.8% of the adult population and 67.7% of the total population now fully vaccinated.    

The state's average positivity rate for diagnostic tests remains above 10%, at which point experts believe the spread of the virus is out of control and not all cases are being captured.  Northern Virginia positivity rates remain significantly below the state level, however, and in fact the rate fell in all of the region's health districts over the past week.  The health department noted that Loudoun's rate is affected by the tests of the Afghan refugees.

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (Sept. 10, 2021)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23, 2020 0.8% / July 3 3.1% Down
Arlington 42.8% / April 20, 2020 0.3% / June 22 3.3% Down
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22, 2020 0.7% / July 1 & 2 4.7% Down
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28, 2020 0.5% / June 20, 21, 22, 23 5.6% Down
Prince William 36.7% / April 18, 2020 1.1% / June 20 6.9% Down
Rappahannock 19.2% / Jan. 7 1.3% / June 20 12.7% Up
Statewide 20.6% / April 22, 2020 1.3% / June 25 10.9% Up

LATEST COVID-19 DATA

New Cases/Deaths (Seven days ending Friday, Sept. 10)

  • Northern Virginia: 3,009 new cases (up from 2,937 prior week); 6 new deaths (down from 9 prior week)  

  • Statewide: 23,660 new cases (up from 23,515 prior week), 137 new deaths (up from 130 prior week)

  • Statewide Testing: 157,460 PCR diagnostic test results (down from 163,016 prior week)     

Overall Totals

  • Northern Virginia: 203,184 cases, 2,440 deaths  

  • Statewide: 801,827 cases, 12,036 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 8.8 million PCR diagnostic tests (12 million when including antibody and antigen tests)  

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 83 (including 14 in Fairfax, 11 in Prince William, two in Loudoun and Alexandria and one in Arlington). No new cases reported statewide this week.

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning (Monday through Friday) by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.


Statewide Hospital Data (as of Friday, Sept. 10)

  • Hospitalizations: 2,150 (up from 1,892 on Sept. 3)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 3,209 reached Jan. 13

  • Patients in ICU: 513 (up from 466 on Sept. 3) 

  • Patients Discharged: 64,204 (1,252 this week)

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard.

Editor's note: InsideNoVa is providing regular COVID-19 updates every week. For daily reports, visit the Virginia Department of Health COVID-19 dashboard

 

See more headlines at InsideNoVa.com. Email tips to info@insidenova.com.

(5) comments

Janet Smith

What did you expect would happen when so many went un-vaccinated and mask-less over Labor Day Weekend?

George Lawton

Who cares?…just more fear porn. No one knows if any of this data is truthful or not anymore.

Fix Prince William

Fear porn?

John Dutko

Different strokes for different folks.

But srsly, everyone should take the necessary precautions, lest they want a Herman Cain Award.

Joe Christmas

You make a good point. The total # of cases is a meaningless number, as they nearly all are folks that are asymptomatic or have only minor symptoms (not to mention false positive tests).

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