Northern Virginia COVID-19 cases by age group (November 17, 2020)

Cases among younger age groups are rising faster in Northern Virginia than among older age groups, according to data from the Northern Virginia Regional Commission compiled through Nov. 14. 

Younger residents are making up an increasing portion of Northern Virginia's new COVID-19 cases as numbers continue to spike in both the region and statewide.

According to demographic data compiled by the Northern Virginia Regional Commission, the 20-29 and 30-39 age groups, which make up about 29% of the region's population combined, are accounting for about 40% of the new COVID-19 cases. 

However, case numbers in the 40-49 age group increased last week to their highest level since late spring, and numbers also jumped dramatically in the 10-19 age group.  The commission noted that some of the increase could be due to increased testing of younger individuals, as well as the staggered return to school and resumption of activities. 

The numbers come, however, as the Fairfax County school district has decided to delay its resumption of in-person classes for at least two weeks, and area teachers' unions are calling on other school districts to follow suit. 

Based on race and ethnicity, Hispanics in Northern Virginia continue to make up the highest proportion of cases, but the gap has narrowed since the spring as the state and region targeted educational messages to that community. Hispanics still make up about 37.5% of the region's new cases, even though they comprise only about 18% of the population, the regional commission reported. 

The second largest number of cases is among white non-Hispanic residents, who make up about half the population and about 34% of all new cases currently.

The updated demographic information comes as Virginia hit another new peak for COVID-19 cases on Tuesday, with the state Department of Health reporting 2,125 new cases, the second highest daily number ever.  That increased the state's seven-day average to 1,692.9, a new record and an increase of 10.9% from a week earlier. 

In Northern Virginia, 516 new cases were reported Tuesday, raising the region's seven-day average to 468.3, its highest level since June 2.  The region's average peaked at  685.3 on May 31.

Southwest Virginia, the hottest spot for new cases over the past several weeks, reported 550 new cases Tuesday, and its average stands at 420.1.

Hospitalizations also continue to soar statewide. On Tuesday morning, the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association reported that 1,392 patients were hospitalized statewide for treatment of COVID-19, the most since May 31. Of those, 362 are being treated in Northern Virginia, the most since June 11.   

The number of patients being treated in intensive care units around the state also is at its highest level since Aug. 25.

Demand for testing has picked up over the past week as well. Prince William County reported Monday that two testing sites were at capacity, and on Tuesday morning the county said that a testing site at James Long Park in Haymarket reached capacity an hour after opening. 

Seven-day average test positivity rate by health district (Nov. 17, 2020)

SOURCE: Virginia Department of Health

Health District Peak Low Current Trend
Alexandria 40.1% / April 23 3.2% / Oct. 18 5.9% Up
Arlington 42.8% / April 20 2.4% / June 26 6.8% Stable
Fairfax 38.6% / April 22 3.3% / Oct. 16 7.8% Up
Loudoun 27.9% / April 28 4.0% / Sept. 30 & Oct. 3 8.3% Stable
Prince William 36.7% / April 18 5.4% / Oct. 20 9.9% Up
Rappahannock 17.2% / May 8 3.5% / July 3 8.3% Up
Statewide 20.6% / April 22 4.5% / Sept. 30, Oct. 1,2,12 & 13 7.4% Up

The health department reported 29 new deaths related to COVID-19 statewide Tuesday, but none was in Northern Virginia.  

Northern Virginia data by locality (Nov. 17, 2020)

Locality Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Alexandria 4,726 343 76
Arlington 5,454 561 157
Fairfax 27,021 2,417 610
Fairfax City 187 16 8
Falls Church 83 14 7
Loudoun 8,954 520 136
Manassas 2,162 133 28
Manassas Park 680 59 8
Prince William 16,123 1,052 229
Totals 65,390 5,115 1,259
OTHER AREA JURISDICTIONS
County/City Cases Hospitalizations Deaths
Fredericksburg 639 55 6
Spotsylvania 2,791 170 56
Stafford 2,824 181 22
Fauquier 1,291 63 27
Culpeper 1,825 104 18

LATEST COVID-19 DATA

New Cases/Deaths

  • Northern Virginia: 516 new cases, 0 new deaths.  

  • Statewide: 2,125 new cases, 29 new deaths.

  • Statewide Testing: 25,024 diagnostic test results reported    

Overall Total

  • Northern Virginia: 65,390 cases, 1,259 deaths.

  • Statewide: 206,762 cases, 3,835 deaths

  • Statewide Testing: 2.96 million diagnostic tests (3.21 million when including antibody tests)

  • Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) cases: 11 

*Provided by Virginia Department of Health. The health department's COVID-19 data is updated each morning by 10 a.m. and includes reports by local health agencies before 5 p.m. the previous day.


Statewide Hospital and Nursing Home Data

  • Hospitalizations: 1,392  (up from 1,337 the previous day and most since May 31)

  • Peak Hospitalizations: 1,625 reached May 8

  • Patients in ICU: 272 (up from 263 the previous day)
  • Patients Discharged: 22,466 total

  • Nursing Home Patients: 1,061 (up from 1,104 on Saturday and highest since data first reported June 23; no report on Sundays or Mondays) 

*Provided by Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

For updated national and international COVID-19 data, visit the Johns Hopkins University coronavirus dashboard

See more headlines at InsideNoVa.com. Email tips to info@insidenova.com.

(3) comments

PWC resident since '69

Who cares! Covid is like a mid level cold, if you have others issues you probably get worse, if not you ride it out and go on living!

Joe Christmas

Would be nice to know what percentage of folks testing positive for COVID-19 end up "hospitalized" and/or in the ICU. With that info, we could better understand the risks we are taking when going about.. The number of "new cases" is what the media is always focused on, which isn't all that meaningful as most cases may be asymptomatic or just have minor symptoms.

Iwouldntgiveabean

I think a better metric is to identify how many "active cases" are out there. Giving the total number since day 1 is misleading. However, when you take X amount of cases per 100,000, you can guesstimate the infection rate in your community.

So for example:

Fairfax County has 17 daily cases per 100k; 1.16 infection rate (meaning that 1 person will spread it to at least one person); a 9.1% infection rate (indicating that adequate testing is being done; and using 20% of the ICU.

Conversely, El Paso County, Texas, has 184.1 per 100k daily cases; 1.00 infection rate; 32.3% positivity rate; the ICUs are at max capacity, leading to overflow deaths.

Here is my source: https://covidactnow.org/?s=1337332

The biggest hurdle people can't get over is "flattening the curve". The whole point is to slow down the spread of the virus so that people who require urgent medical attention can receive it. So counties like El Paso are screwed. Don't have a heart attack or get in a car accident-- there are no hospital beds for you.

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