They say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

Today, that definition applies to Republicans in Prince William County and Virginia.

Stunned by massive defeats in House of Delegates elections two years ago, Republicans thought 2019 would be different.   With no statewide races on the ballot, these “off, off-year” elections usually bring light voter turnout, which generally benefits the GOP.  After all, in 2015, the last such election, only about a quarter of Prince William’s voters bothered to go to the polls.

That year, Republican Corey Stewart won re-election as chair of the Board of County Supervisors with about 37,000 votes.  On Tuesday, the Republican candidate to replace Stewart, John Gray, also received about 37,000 votes – and was summarily trounced by Democrat Ann Wheeler, who received over 58,000 votes.

The story was the same across the county.  Democrats flipped control of the Prince William board and will have a 5-3 majority starting in January.  They held on to all the House of Delegates seats they won four years ago, even in the 50th District, where socialist Lee Carter repelled a strong challenge from Manassas Councilman Ian Lovejoy.  Democrat Amy Ashworth was easily elected Prince William commonwealth’s attorney, Babur Lateef was elected to a full four-year term as chairman of the county School Board, and even long-time Republican Sheriff Glen Hill is in a race with Democrat Joshua King with results too close to call.

Statewide, the story was generally the same. Republicans hoped that the Gov. Ralph Northam’s issues with racist photos and the sexual assault allegations against Lt. Gov. Justin Fairfax would help them retain control of the General Assembly.  Instead, that, too, flipped — Democrats will control both the House of Delegates and the state Senate for the first time in 25 years.

Maybe Republicans will finally realize that Prince William and Virginia have changed.  We are a majority-minority community, and our representatives must reflect that diversity.  We want reasonable gun control measures so our children are safe at school and so our workplaces, churches and shopping malls stop becoming killing fields.  We believe women should have control over their bodies. We think everyone should have access to health care.

As long as GOP candidates can be labeled anti-gun control, anti-abortion and anti-health care, their important messages of fiscal responsibility, limited government and less regulation will never resonate.  And results like this week’s will continue. Just ask former Del. Rich Anderson, who was a successful Republican legislator. He ran the same campaign in the same district against the same opponent as he did two years ago. And lost by the same margin. 

2020 is a lost cause for Virginia Republicans.  No matter who the Democrats nominate, it’s their race to lose against President Trump in the state.

But that gives the party time to find candidates who are more diverse and whose viewpoints on social issues better reflect majority opinions throughout the region and state.  Otherwise, the GOP will become obsolete.

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(9) comments

Cultured2014

just wait until peoples personal rights i.e. 2A and others are restricted. in addition, wait until they pay more in taxes, people move away, etc..they'll be back at the polls.

Allen Muchnick

Keep repeating such malarkey. A majority of voters saw right through such unfounded falsehoods yesterday.

EdP

Those that care passionately about their gun ownership already vote to protect it. Be refusing all debate and any measure designed to increase public safety, you alienate everyone else. You are not the majority.

OBLUE

i guess to put on a black face make up and touch women Inappropriately is what its like to be a democrat no thanks

EdP

That is ridiculous. Black face is idiotic and touching women inappropriately is completely wrong but neither are democratic traits. Trump has been accused by many and there have been way more republican politicians charged with sexual crimes.

InsideCommenter

"I don't even wait. And when you're a star, they let you do it. You can do anything. Grab them by the pussy. You can do anything." - DJT

hello190

Eroding the rights of the law abiding isn't the way to reduce crime though. Guns alone do not commit crime. It's the person controlling the gun is what determines their use. I am all for eliminating the criminal use of guns. I don't believe the way to do that though is to ban certain guns or certain features, because criminals won't care. What sucks is the law-abiding get the short end of the stick. If these restrictions are put in place and don't work, they usually won't be removed so now we have little to no change in criminal use of guns AND eroded the rights of the law-abiding.

Let's break down the numbers regarding deaths by firearm in the US.

There are about 30,000 gun related deaths per year by firearms, this number is not disputed. (1)

U.S. population 328 million as of January 2018. (2)

Do the math: 0.00915% of the population dies from gun related actions each year.

Statistically speaking, this is insignificant. It's not even a rounding error.

What is not insignificant, however, is a breakdown of those 30,000 deaths:

• 22,938 (76%) are by suicide which can't be prevented by gun laws (3)

• 987 (3%) are by law enforcement, thus not relevant to Gun Control discussion. (4)

• 489 (2%) are accidental (5)

So no, "gun violence" isn't 30,000 annually, but rather 5,577... 0.0017% of the population.

Still too many? Let's look at location:

298 (5%) - St Louis, MO (6)

327 (6%) - Detroit, MI (6)

328 (6%) - Baltimore, MD (6)

764 (14%) - Chicago, IL (6)

That's over 30% of all gun crime. In just 4 cities.

This leaves 3,856 for for everywhere else in America... about 77 deaths per state. Obviously some States have higher rates than others

Yes, 5,577 is absolutely horrific, but let's think for a minute...

But what about other deaths each year?

70,000+ die from a drug overdose (7)

49,000 people die per year from the flu (8)

37,000 people die per year in traffic fatalities (9)

Now it gets interesting:

250,000+ people die each year from preventable medical errors. (10)

You are safer in Chicago than when you are in a hospital!

610,000 people die per year from heart disease (11)

Even a 10% decrease in cardiac deaths would save about twice the number of lives annually of all gun-related deaths (including suicide, law enforcement, etc.).

A 10% reduction in medical errors would be 66% of the total gun deaths or 4 times the number of criminal homicides.

Simple, easily preventable, 10% reductions!

We don't have a gun problem... We have a political agenda and media sensationalism problem.

Here are some statistics about defensive gun use in the U.S. as well.

https://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/3#14

Page 15:

Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million (Kleck, 2001a), in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008 (BJS, 2010).

That's a minimum 500,000 incidents/assaults deterred, if you were to play devil's advocate and say that only 10% of that low end number is accurate, then that is still more than the number of deaths, even including the suicides.

Older study, 1995:

https://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6853&context=jclc

Page 164

The most technically sound estimates presented in Table 2 are those based on the shorter one-year recall period that rely on Rs' first-hand accounts of their own experiences (person-based estimates). These estimates appear in the first two columns. They indicate that each year in the U.S. there are about 2.2 to 2.5 million DGUs of all types by civilians against humans, with about 1.5 to 1.9 million of the incidents involving use of handguns.

r/dgu is a great sub to pay attention to, when you want to know whether or not someone is defensively using a gun

——sources——

1) https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr64/nvsr64_02.pdf

2) https://everytownresearch.org/firearm-suicide/

3) https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhamcs/web_tables/2015_ed_web_tables.pdf

4) https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/national/police-shootings-2017/?tid=a_inl_manual

5) https://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-accidental-gun-deaths-20180101-story.html

6) https://247wallst.com/special-report/2018/11/13/cities-with-the-most-gun-violence/ (stats halved as reported statistics cover 2 years, single year statistics not found)

7) https://www.drugabuse.gov/related-topics/trends-statistics/overdose-death-rates

8) https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/faq.htm

9) https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/812603

10) https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/02/22/medical-errors-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-america.html

11) https://www.cdc.gov/heartdisease/facts.htm

toomanypeople

"Hope & Change" is here again. THAT'S insanity.

InsideCommenter

It was never here in Virginia, we have had GOP control of the state assembly for the past 25 years. Also hope and change was blocked by Moscow Mitch, and John Boehner.

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